This week, Tim discusses Jerome Powell’s comments, Oaktree’s Howard Marks making the case on how today’s economy is fundamentally different than the last four decades, and the holy grail of nuclear fusion someday becoming a reality.

The Fed just told us that we are now in a new secular inflation regime and the market didn’t pay attention

This week, Tim looks at the key question every investor and fiduciary may ask themselves before making a market decision, where could I be wrong?

In this video Tim covers the factors driving the secular energy inflation issue. Underinvestment, industry changes, geopolitical issues, and demand all contribute to high oil prices long term.

This week, Tim discusses the recent CPI report and how stagflation may come to more of a forefront in the coming months and how mild stagflation will become the new reality.

In this video Tim Pierotti looks at the four long term factors that contributed to the Great Moderation and how they have come to an end and how financial professionals can plan moving forward.

This week Tim discusses the Fed decision to raise the target rate 75 basis points and the long-term implications of today’s inflationary cycle.

In this video Tim covers the factors driving the secular energy inflation issue. Underinvestment, industry changes, geopolitical issues, and demand all contribute to high oil prices long term.

This week Tim discusses the long-term view on the 60/40 portfolio. The traditional success of a 60/40 equity and bond allocation has been undermined by elevated inflation over the past year. While inflation will come down over the coming months, the secular risks such as deglobalization and aging demographic will lead to a more inflationary environment over the coming decade. The result is that a more defensive allocation that includes principal protection is warranted.

In this week’s essay, Tim dissects the role men dropping out of the workforce has had on the overall Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR).

In this week’s post, Tim investigates oil supply and demand and the lack of chronic and structural investment in the refining space. He argues that while the US has become far more energy independent, the benefits may not be as disinflationary as we may hope.

In this video Tim discusses Factor Investing and goes over Quality, Momentum, Value, Size and Volatility Factors and how they function within an investment portfolio.

In this week’s essay, Tim discusses the problem of trying to value the equity markets based off consensus forward estimates. Wall Street estimates will always be behind the curve in a downturn and this time is no different. Stocks may look “cheap” on current estimates but those estimates are always far too high ahead of recessions.

In this week’s article, Tim dives into recent treasury yields. Arguing that while the near term inflation numbers may ease, the long-term effect of supply induced inflation is a secular issue.

In this week’s article, Tim discusses the changing labor market in the US, the rise of union popularity and whether today’s inflationary pressures are secular or cyclical.

In this episode Drew and Tim discuss how economists are divided on whether or not we are in a recession, fewer Americans living paycheck to paycheck, corporate profits and Russia turning off the gas.

In this week’s article, Tim discusses the implications of the seemingly growing alliance between China and Russia, making the case that there is risk that deglobalization could accelerate as geopolitical tensions rise.

In this video, WealthVest's Chief Investment Strategist Tim Pierotti sits down and covers the seven main drivers of inflation in August 2022. Being aware of the main causes behind today's inflation can help guide where we could be going moving forward and what pressures the US Economy could experience in the future.

Labor Shortage

Wage inflation in the United States has increased dramatically since the US economy emerged from from the depths of the pandemic. Tim explores when will this parabolic wage growth in the United States top out and how fast it decline as the Fed raises rates.

Secular vs. Cyclical

On the back of recent CPI data, markets have rallied but Fed comments aren’t quite so bullish. In this article, Tim covers WealthVest’s stance on whether current inflation trends are secular or cyclical and highlights some headlines from top news stories to help illustrate our stance.